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Finance & Accounting

Credit Risk Modelling and Expected Credit Loss

Expected credit loss accounting requires lenders and companies to estimate losses before they happen, using judgement and forward-looking information. This course explains how probability of default, loss given default and exposure at default are estimated, how staging works, how macroeconomic scenarios are incorporated and how to govern and validate ECL models.

5 days Classroom or live online English
Smart Horizon Certified - Global Leadership Consultants
Take the course details with you.

Download the full standard outline: why attend, methodology, objectives, audience, competencies, the daily outline and current plans.

Download course PDF
Why attend

From knowledge to real-world impact.

ECL numbers are scrutinised by auditors and regulators and can swing profits significantly. You will understand the models, assumptions and controls so you can produce, review or challenge credible provisions.

Workplace challenges

Professional Problems This Course Is Designed to Solve

The programme explores practical approaches to the following challenges. Results depend on how the learning is applied in your organisation.

  • Difficulty translating subject knowledge into practical workplace decisions.
  • Inconsistent approaches to the activities covered in the course outline.
  • Lack of a structured plan for applying and reviewing new skills.
Course methodology

How you will learn.

Worked spreadsheet models, staging case studies, scenario-weighting exercises, review of disclosure examples and group discussion of audit findings.

Course objectives

What you'll take away.

By the end of this course, participants will be able to:

  • Explain expected credit loss principles and staging
  • Estimate probability of default, loss given default and exposure
  • Incorporate forward-looking macroeconomic scenarios
  • Apply simplified approaches for trade receivables
  • Govern, validate and document ECL models
  • Prepare clear ECL disclosures and management reports
Target audience

Who should attend.

This course is suitable for:

  • Credit risk managers and analysts
  • Financial reporting and provisioning teams
  • Bank and finance company accountants
  • Model validation and audit professionals
  • CFOs of companies with large receivables
  • Regulatory reporting staff
Target competencies

Capabilities you will build.

Participants will develop competencies in:

  • Credit risk analytics
  • ECL estimation
  • Scenario analysis
  • Model governance
  • Financial disclosure
Course outline

Your learning journey.

A focused, practical outline with time to explore, apply and reflect.

Day 1ECL Foundations

  1. 09:00–09:54From incurred to expected loss
  2. 09:54–10:48Scope of the ECL requirements
  3. 10:48–11:00Stage 1, 2 and 3 classification
  4. 11:00–11:30Coffee break
  5. 11:30–12:12Stage 1, 2 and 3 classification (continued)
  6. 12:12–13:06Significant increase in credit risk
  7. 13:06–14:00Exercise: staging a loan portfolio

Day 2Risk Parameters

  1. 09:00–09:54Probability of default estimation
  2. 09:54–10:48Loss given default and collateral
  3. 10:48–11:00Exposure at default and credit conversion
  4. 11:00–11:30Coffee break
  5. 11:30–12:12Exposure at default and credit conversion (continued)
  6. 12:12–13:06Data requirements and segmentation
  7. 13:06–14:00Workshop: building PD estimates

Day 3Forward-Looking Information

  1. 09:00–09:54Macroeconomic variables and credit losses
  2. 09:54–10:48Scenario design and weighting
  3. 10:48–11:00Management overlays and adjustments
  4. 11:00–11:30Coffee break
  5. 11:30–12:12Management overlays and adjustments (continued)
  6. 12:12–13:06Simplified approach for trade receivables
  7. 13:06–14:00Exercise: scenario-weighted ECL

Day 4Governance and Validation

  1. 09:00–09:54Model risk and validation
  2. 09:54–10:48Back-testing and benchmarking
  3. 10:48–11:00Controls over data and assumptions
  4. 11:00–11:30Coffee break
  5. 11:30–12:12Controls over data and assumptions (continued)
  6. 12:12–13:06Audit and regulatory expectations
  7. 13:06–14:00Case study: audit challenge on provisions

Day 5Reporting and Use

  1. 09:00–09:54ECL disclosures
  2. 09:54–10:48Explaining provision movements
  3. 10:48–11:00Using ECL insights in credit decisions
  4. 11:00–11:30Coffee break
  5. 11:30–12:12Using ECL insights in credit decisions (continued)
  6. 12:12–13:06Common pitfalls
  7. 13:06–14:00Personal implementation plan

The timings provided are estimates and may vary depending on the number of participants and the discussions taking place during the sessions. They are indicative only and do not constitute a binding commitment.

Dates & venues

Find a session that works for you.

Confirmed dates accept registration requests. Tentative dates are enquiry only.

Vienna 16 Nov - 20 Nov 2026
Confirmed dates
€2,940.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 16 Nov - 20 Nov 2026
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Rome 7 Dec - 11 Dec 2026
Confirmed dates
€2,450.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 7 Dec - 11 Dec 2026
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Cape Town 11 Jan - 15 Jan 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,890.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 11 Jan - 15 Jan 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Istanbul 25 Jan - 29 Jan 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,650.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 25 Jan - 29 Jan 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Vienna 15 Feb - 19 Feb 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,940.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 15 Feb - 19 Feb 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Amsterdam 8 Mar - 12 Mar 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,540.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 8 Mar - 12 Mar 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Kuala Lumpur 29 Mar - 2 Apr 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,450.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 29 Mar - 2 Apr 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Dubai 19 Apr - 23 Apr 2027
Confirmed dates
€3,150.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 19 Apr - 23 Apr 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Barcelona 3 May - 7 May 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,840.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 3 May - 7 May 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Cape Town 24 May - 28 May 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,890.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 24 May - 28 May 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Rome 14 Jun - 18 Jun 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,450.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 14 Jun - 18 Jun 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
London 5 Jul - 9 Jul 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,450.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 5 Jul - 9 Jul 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Dubai 26 Jul - 30 Jul 2027
Confirmed dates
€3,150.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 26 Jul - 30 Jul 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
London 9 Aug - 13 Aug 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,450.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 9 Aug - 13 Aug 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Barcelona 30 Aug - 3 Sept 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,840.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 30 Aug - 3 Sept 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Rome 20 Sept - 24 Sept 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,450.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 20 Sept - 24 Sept 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Cape Town 11 Oct - 15 Oct 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,890.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 11 Oct - 15 Oct 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Frankfurt 1 Nov - 5 Nov 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,650.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 1 Nov - 5 Nov 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Dubai 15 Nov - 19 Nov 2027
Confirmed dates
€3,150.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 15 Nov - 19 Nov 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register
Paris 6 Dec - 10 Dec 2027
Confirmed dates
€2,860.-Register
Online Live virtual classroom 6 Dec - 10 Dec 2027
Confirmed dates
€1,250.-Register

Good to know

A few things to know.

How is the course delivered?

Our classroom programmes combine facilitated discussion, case studies, exercises and reflection. The precise format will be confirmed before enrolment.

Can you deliver this programme for our team?

Yes, you can enquire about a tailored programme. Share your goals, group size and preferred dates with our learning team.

Will I receive a certificate?

Participants who complete the programme receive a Smart Horizon certificate of attendance. Smart Horizon programmes are not externally accredited and do not award a professional qualification, licence or designation. Where a course title or outline refers to a professional certification (for example, AACE International's Certified Cost Professional), the programme supports learning and preparation only; the credential itself is awarded solely by the relevant professional body under its own application and examination requirements.

What should I confirm before booking travel?

Please confirm the session, exact venue, accessibility arrangements, fees and any visa requirements with the team before arranging travel. Tentative dates are not confirmed sessions.

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